Saturday, June 11, 2011

Sports Handicapping and Betting Systems

Every gambler dreams of a perfect sports handicapping and betting system. Guaranteed to win, simple to use formulas, and FREE! So they monitor the web forums. Read betting system reviews. Somewhere in the back of their minds, they believe the best software or a top rated professional betting system or picks service will make them winners.

Inevitably, most will wind up with a scheme of progressive betting and call that a system. Some will take the ultimate test and try out the 97% systems being sold by John Morrison for a price bigger than most starting bankrolls. But at least the Sports Betting Champ is a true betting system because it provides the specific, handicapped situation you are to bet on, as well as the betting strategy.

Some products being sold as betting systems are nothing more than a compilation of different progressive betting schemes. The closest thing to handicapping is where one of the systems says start your progression after a team has lost two games in a row.

It is because of all these different types of products being sold as systems that most people fail to realize what a real sports handicapping and betting system is. Many people believe a scheme for progressive betting is a complete betting system. It is only a half of one, and a bad half because progressive betting is no way to make a lot of money.

The real key to success for any system is its ability to handicap a situation and identify it as profitable. Flipping a coin and using a progressive betting scheme is not a betting system.

A good sports betting system consists of two parts. The first, and most important part, is handicapping games by identifying situations to bet on. Each system you have should focus on a very specific set of circumstances surrounding a game. It has nothing to do with the teams playing.

Each system should be very specialized. For example, you can build a system for picking home teams to bet on. It can be further filtered for anything else you choose. Perhaps you have noticed that home underdogs of less than 7 points, when both teams have winning or losing records, increases your probabilities to win against the spread. That would be a betable situation.

In a twist of fate that sometimes happens when you check previous outcomes, you may find the opposite to be true and that home dog loses a lot against the spread. Then that would be your betable situation.

You could also find no advantage at all have to discard the whole idea. It's all a part of building your own systems, which is the first step in being a consistent winner.

There are an infinite number of possibilities. John Morrison at the Sports Betting Champ has identified such a situation and that is the root of his systems. Not the progressive betting scheme he applies to make his odds sound better, to the point of being unbelievable.

Good, profitable situations exist in every sport, whether it be the NFL, NHL, FIFA, NBA, or Major League Baseball. You can find a winning situation in any sport you want to bet on. All you have to do is look.

The other part of a successful sports betting and handicap system is how you will manage the money within the system. Progressive betting should be used with care, if at all. You will find the greatest success by always betting the same amount, as a percentage of your starting bankroll.

Your system does not need to achieve any more than a 55% win rate to be successful and make you a boat load of money. It does not need to use progressive betting or be perfect.

In the end, you have to have a system that gives consistency to the methods you use to pick games and manage your betting strategy. Ideally, you will have several systems you can use, each with its own bankroll.

You will not find these systems in the forums or in professional betting system reviews. Those is the forums are as lost as you are in most cases. And those who publish reviews are most likely getting paid a commission if you buy it. They are the internet equivalent of a used car salesman.

The surest and fastest way to get your systems is to build them yourself, for yourself. It's not that hard to do, especially once you understand exactly what a complete sports handicapping and betting system is.

No comments:

Post a Comment